Trumbull County is no longer a Level 3 (red) high-risk area for COVID-19 — as it was last week — because it no longer meets one of the most common indicators on the Ohio Public Health Advisory System.
For the first time since the system was put in place on July 2, Trumbull County had fewer than 50 cases per 100,000 residents over the last two weeks. The system reported 44.96 cases per 100,000, or 89 total cases between Aug. 12 and Tuesday, with the county’s population at 197,974.
The Ohio Department of Health’s daily data, however, shows 152 cases during that two-week period. That is closer to 76 cases per 100,000 — above the threshold.
An ODH spokeswoman couldn’t be reached Thursday to comment on the discrepancy.
If that indicator — among the most common ones achieved from the seven that make up the system — was met, Trumbull County would have stayed at the red level for the second straight week.
SCHOOL ORDER
Gov. Mike DeWine announced Thursday that the state will be issuing an order shortly requiring schools to establish a mechanism for reporting COVID-19 cases.
Numerous schools have reopened in recent days or are about to reopen with some having in-school attendance and others teaching through distance learning.
“After learning of a student or staff member who tested positive, K-12 schools must report that case to the local health department as quickly as possible,” DeWine said. “Schools should make information about a positive case publicly available and should notify parents or guardians in writing about the case and include as much information as possible without disclosing protected health information.”
Local health districts then will notify ODH on a weekly basis about newly reported cases in schools and cumulative case data for students and teachers. The data will be available on the ODH website.
“Prompt reporting will help prevent potential further spread among students and staff,” DeWine said.
During DeWine’s Thursday news conference, he was joined by Jim Tressel, Youngstown State University president, who said students are complying with the face-mask mandate, are social distancing and excited to be back on campus.
TRUMBULL COUNTY
Trumbull County, at Level 2 (orange), met three indicators. To be a Level 3 area, a county must have four to five of the seven indicators.
The three indicators for Trumbull are:
An increase in new cases of at least five consecutive days during the past three weeks. That increase occurred between Aug. 8 and 12 and has significantly dropped since then. When the system is updated next Thursday, that indicator will drop off because it’s past the three-week time period.
At least five consecutive days during the past three weeks with an increase in the number of people going to a health care provider with COVID-19 symptoms. That happened Aug. 7-11 and has declined. That also will be past the three-week limit by next Thursday’s report.
Cases in noncongregate settings being more than 50 percent at least once in the last three weeks. Trumbull was over that in all three weeks: 75.27 percent for the week of Aug. 5-11, 56.9 percent for Aug. 12-18, and 80.95 percent for Aug. 19 to Tuesday. Noncongregate means in the general population and not in a closed location, such as a nursing home or assisted-living facility.
Trumbull was at Level 3 for the first two weeks of the system in July, then dropped to Level 2 for four straight weeks before returning to Level 3 last Thursday.
Six counties were listed Thursday as Level 3, the smallest number since the advisory system was unveiled July 2.
Having zero to one of the seven indicators puts a county at Level 1 (yellow), two to three at Level 2, four to five at Level 3 and six to seven at Level 4 (purple). No county has reached Level 4 since the system started.
The system was important during the second and third weeks of its existence when those in Level 3 counties were required to wear face masks, starting July 8. But after Gov. Mike DeWine imposed a statewide face-mask mandate, with some exceptions, effective July 23, it primarily serves as a guide for counties that are hot spots for COVID-19.
MAHONING COUNTY
Mahoning County has been at Level 2 since the system began.
As it did last week, Mahoning had the same three indicators.
They are:
Having 54.22 cases per 100,000 residents over the past two weeks, which is more than the 50 cases threshold. The state system lists 124 total cases between Aug. 12 and Tuesday, but ODH daily data reported 200 cases in the county during those two weeks.
Cases in noncongregate settings being more than 50 percent at least once in the last three weeks. Mahoning was well over that in all three weeks: 93.51 percent for the week of Aug. 5-11, 93.77 percent for Aug. 12-18 and 89.44 percent for Aug. 19 to Tuesday.
At least five consecutive days during the past three weeks with an increase in the number of people going to a health care provider with COVID-19 symptoms. That happened Aug. 8-12 and has declined. That also will be past the three-week limit during next Thursday’s report.
COVID-19 by the numbers
The number of cases, changes in cases and deaths in counties in the region and statewide as of Thursday:
County Case Change since Change since Deaths
yetersday last week
Trumbull 1,735 +10 +60 117
Mahoning 2,825 +13 +96 264
Columbiana 1,786 +5 +40 64
Ohio 118,828 +1,244 +6,825 4,076
SOURCE: Ohio Department of Health
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